Posted on 15-01-2009
Filed Under (News) by admin

First, Barack Obama will face, on assuming office, it is the urgent need to decide the Iranian-Israeli problem. Exactly, it was the Iran-Israel. In fact, to solve only Iran’s, related to Iran’s nuclear program, frankly, Washington had and has the field for maneuver. It is no coincidence that Barack Obama, during his election campaign, touched the possibility of its diplomatic solution. On the one hand, Israel is the most obvious target for Iranian missiles (which are already flying over two thousand kilometers) when equipped with their nuclear warheads, and on the other - the most loyal U.S. ally in the Middle East, which no American president had left one-on one with the Islamic world.

The current president, George Bush was not exception, repeatedly saying that the U.S. will not allow Iran went to the level of technology to enable it to create their own atomic bomb. However, as now it appears that Bush has rejected a request by Israel to help him to investigate with the growing and therefore arousing real fears Iran’s nuclear capabilities. As they say at the beginning of this week, virtually all the U.S. media, Israel asked the U.S. to provide him with a powerful American «punctured-underground-shelter’s» bombs to destroy the uranium enrichment complex at Natanz, up to 54 thousand centrifuges. Instead, the newspaper reports, George Bush has ordered to organize some kind of «secret operation to sabotage» Iran’s nuclear program. Moreover, according to the newspaper, the program «sabotage» George Bush intends to transfer to his successor, who will decide whether it should continue or not. In other words, the Iranian-Israeli problem in its most acute form - gift to Obamefrom Bush.

If to believe the American media, now on the table at the upcoming U.S. president on the Iranian nuclear issue of the two concepts ,which is mutually exclusive. One calls upon the new administration «to accept the reality of growing Iranian power» similar to China. In fact, it is a question of to admit to the right of Iran to be «threshold» state, which nuclear technology by developing its own atomic bomb separates only a political solution.

Another concept, known as «five principles» of U.S. policy against Iran’s nuclear program, urged the administration Obama necessarily stop its nuclear ambitions. In particular, that Israel is not forced to go to the unilateral action to destroy Iran’s nuclear capabilities, the concept implies that Obame must convince Jerusalem that the United States «does not prevent Iran’s nuclear power». Do not be tolerated by all means, including military.

Hardly any experts risk to say today what will be guided by the concept of selected president Barack Obama. All his statements to this effect had been more than cautious. On the one hand, almost word for word he repeated Bush’s position that the U.S. will not allow them «faithful ally of Israel was one-on-one with a nuclear Iran», the other is continually emphasizes the priority of a diplomatic solution to the Iranian nuclear issue.

Of course, maybe it’s not yet time to carry out the analogy between the two concepts and notorious two haystacks. But there is one significant detail. In all possible scenarios of U.S. relations with the Iranian nuclear problem, inevitably their third entity presents, it’s Israel. And hardly Jerusalem agrees to such terms of a «peaceful», let’s say, concept, which, in particular, foresees: if Iran wants to develop constructive relations with the United States, it should realize that if it uses nuclear weapons against Israel, it is will inevitably lead to an immediate response from the United States.

For Israel, «red line» of the Iranian nuclear problem was moved to a much earlier date than the launch of a missile equipped with nuclear warheads. And Jerusalem, apparently, as against Washington did not intend to wait flying Iranian missiles. According to some experts, the first «red line» is way out of Iran’s nuclear program to the level of 10-15 thousands of centrifuges that would allow him in a short time to create a nuclear warhead. The second and main «red line» may serve as Iran’s withdrawal from Doprotokola to the NPT that would allow him to deny IAEA inspectors of undeclared inspections, but this is an extreme case.

Many experts, for example,are not without reason to believe the current Israeli actions in the Gaza Strip as they demonstrate their determination to Iran. Others believed, Gaza could be a prelude to military action against Iran. The question today only: already failed operations or still?

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